Let's try that again, shall we?
On Jan 8, 11:46 pm, Ken Gardner
> [actually, I wrote] "Agent Cooper"
>
> > Here's where we're at: Obama and McCain will win in New Hampshire. I
> > don't place much stock in historical analogies in this context, but
> > the "losing in both Iowa *and* New Hampshire and then winning the
> > nomination" looks much less promising than "losing in Iowa and then
> > winning the nomination." I am guarded about Hillary's chances now, but
> > if I were her, I'd be really really worried.
> > This thing is totally not over, but if I were Rudy, I'd start making
> > other plans for 2009.
> > My guarded prediction, however, is that Obama is our next president,
> > for the following reason: Hillary is in a trap because her argument is
> > so weak. Experience? They are both one term senators. Policy? Not much
> > difference. Make history? They are both not white males. But she has
> > no charisma (!), so she has no choice but to go negative. Just how
> > negative can a Dem go against a black candidate before it backfires
> > and makes her look like crap? Not very far. But they'll have no
> > choice. And the going negative will kill her.
> > McCain has a shot, but he can't run as a change agent, even if he can
> > respectably distance himself from the worst features of the Bush
> > administration. There's a huge hunger for change out there, and only
> > Obama can credibly cash in on it. I predict that Reggie is going to
> > win his little wager.
So far so good.
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